Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2.623573 2.989115 3.377570 3.820074 4.309110 4.831975 5.432194
2024-12-22 1.959060 2.464125 3.043790 3.753434 4.593625 5.551375 6.720098
2024-12-29 1.598228 2.193952 2.924926 3.875861 5.067134 6.496369 8.325547
2025-01-05 1.332332 1.979633 2.822643 3.978771 5.498165 7.400155 9.930701
2025-01-12 1.083945 1.737916 2.639030 3.936702 5.717763 8.033128 11.220048
2025-01-19 0.928058 1.593757 2.558236 4.007550 6.071959 8.842324 12.764469
2025-01-26 0.798929 1.464896 2.476434 4.057418 6.386619 9.602573 14.270511
2025-02-02 0.696796 1.359691 2.412188 4.117912 6.709030 10.379079 15.825258
2025-02-09 0.597119 1.240991 2.309597 4.104262 6.912610 10.988746 17.165744
2025-02-16 0.504930 1.119023 2.184664 4.038593 7.024926 11.462788 18.324103
2025-02-23 0.444581 1.044693 2.128707 4.074466 7.289125 12.164758 19.833676
2025-03-02 0.380284 0.951202 2.027004 4.021671 7.403815 12.640783 21.021932
2025-03-09 0.340123 0.901656 2.001674 4.102015 7.747039 13.495581 22.836662
2025-03-16 0.294760 0.832949 1.932624 4.099310 7.952972 14.148537 24.376811
2025-03-23 0.272754 0.812581 1.954240 4.261315 8.445817 15.276319 26.694038
2025-03-30 0.249313 0.784366 1.956383 4.386009 8.879785 16.326448 28.927712
2025-04-06 0.214343 0.720391 1.876437 4.346210 9.019736 16.900610 30.426307
2025-04-13 0.193369 0.688034 1.859253 4.425579 9.374943 17.842066 32.543295
2025-04-20 0.173103 0.653128 1.831766 4.480782 9.687008 18.721129 34.586301
2025-04-27 0.155884 0.622995 1.811036 4.546889 10.020950 19.647945 36.735512
2025-05-04 0.136019 0.580042 1.754497 4.532289 10.199718 20.312218 38.468609
2025-05-11 0.115873 0.530658 1.675343 4.461127 10.263340 20.775047 39.875645
2025-05-18 0.103472 0.503620 1.648058 4.500090 10.542012 21.624966 41.960726